Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 5.400057 6.292440 7.252730 8.359021 9.594301 10.927145 12.469879
2025-04-27 4.501278 5.782771 7.264963 9.089499 11.257617 13.734081 16.758017
2025-05-04 3.755889 5.283118 7.169430 9.630759 12.714784 16.407240 21.114404
2025-05-11 3.006603 4.627724 6.762201 9.704698 13.575086 18.408064 24.805338
2025-05-18 2.334987 3.939080 6.190206 9.462932 13.969031 19.817665 27.826321
2025-05-25 1.834648 3.388730 5.708616 9.254143 14.344720 21.185172 30.835986
2025-06-01 1.489463 3.000533 5.390711 9.214019 14.912219 22.804870 34.230104
2025-06-08 1.206693 2.652950 5.075218 9.123457 15.372628 24.274605 37.466594
2025-06-15 1.080640 2.551989 5.132089 9.595003 16.673291 26.973269 42.507787
2025-06-22 0.905214 2.320510 4.934085 9.629608 17.298487 28.714818 46.256526
2025-06-29 0.708320 1.998878 4.527702 9.267867 17.263090 29.462201 48.583962
2025-07-06 0.546046 1.706968 4.126485 8.861010 17.106472 29.994648 50.589968
2025-07-13 0.487216 1.642844 4.161322 9.241826 18.289260 32.667584 55.948084
2025-07-20 0.467398 1.671360 4.386144 9.989280 20.133795 36.453551 63.132374
2025-07-27 0.431831 1.650441 4.504772 10.545858 21.681804 39.833996 69.815643
2025-08-03 0.364139 1.522087 4.373951 10.609728 22.372298 41.868873 74.491549
2025-08-10 0.287137 1.339343 4.091003 10.341312 22.447977 42.900154 77.626904
2025-08-17 0.226762 1.184205 3.843118 10.112138 22.568847 43.996618 80.886375
2025-08-24 0.185760 1.077607 3.692879 10.066045 23.014824 45.639841 85.055010
2025-08-31 0.149796 0.972836 3.527557 9.967141 23.348088 47.096062 88.956690
2025-09-07 0.139569 0.969275 3.631126 10.471468 24.866575 50.638883 96.366357
2025-09-14 0.116198 0.896992 3.532833 10.507892 25.469257 52.607722 101.230392
2025-09-21 0.086329 0.774246 3.264729 10.119893 25.200349 53.027795 103.521576